Last-Minute 2016 Oscar Predictions

Posted: February 28, 2016 in Film
Tags: , ,

Both years that I’ve slapped together last-minute Oscar predictions have yielded a 7-for-11 success rate in these specific categories. These predictions aren’t necessarily who I think deserves the award, but who I think will win the award. Mad Max: Fury Road deserves Best Picture and it’s a travesty that George Miller won’t win Best Director. I have no doubt The Revenant is taking home the most important awards from the Academy. Get ready for the coronation of Leonardo DiCaprio.

Best Original Screenplay

Bridge of Spies – Matt Charman and Ethan Coen & Joel Coen
Ex Machina – Alex Garland
Inside Out – Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley
Spotlight – Josh Singer & Tom McCarthy
Straight Outta Compton – Jonathan Herman and Andrea Berloff

And the winner is…Spotlight – Josh Singer & Tom McCarthy

Last Year’s Prediction: Birdman – Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr., and Armando Bo
Last Year’s Winner: Birdman – Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr., and Armando Bo

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Big Short – Charles Randolph and Adam McKay
Brooklyn – Nick Hornby
Carol – Phyllis Nagy
The Martian – Drew Goddard
Room – Emma Donoghue

And the winner is…The Big Short – Charles Randolph and Adam McKay

Last Year’s Prediction: Whiplash – Damien Chazelle
Last Year’s Winner: The Imitation Game – Graham Moore

Best Foreign Feature

Embrace of the Serpent (Colombia )
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Theeb (Jordan)
A War (Denmark)

And the winner is…Son of Saul (Hungary)

Last Year’s Prediction: Ida (Poland)
Last Year’s Winner: Ida (Poland)

Best Cinematography

Carol – Ed Lachman
The Hateful Eight – Robert Richardson
Mad Max: Fury Road – John Seale
The Revenant – Emmanuel Lubezki
Sicario – Roger Deakins

And the winner is…The Revenant – Emmanuel Lubezki

Last Year’s Prediction: Birdman – Emmanuel Lubezki
Last Year’s Winner: Birdman – Emmanuel Lubezki

Best Film Editing

The Big Short – Hank Corwin
Mad Max: Fury Road – Margaret Sixel
The Revenant – Stephen Mirrione
Spotlight – Tom McArdle
Star Wars: The Force Awakens – Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey

And the winner is…Mad Max: Fury Road – Margaret Sixel

Last Year’s Prediction: Boyhood – Sandra Adair
Last Year’s Winner: Whiplash – Tom Cross

Best Actor

Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
Matt Damon – The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

And the winner is…Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant

Last Year’s Prediction: Michael Keaton – Birdman
Last Year’s Winner: Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett – Carol
Brie Larson – Room
Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn

And the winner is…Brie Larson – Room

Last Year’s Prediction: Julianne Moore – Still Alice
Last Year’s Winner: Julianne Moore – Still Alice

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale – The Big Short
Tom Hardy – The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone – Creed

And the winner is…Sylvester Stallone – Creed

Last Year’s Prediction: J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
Last Year’s Winner: J.K. Simmons – Whiplash

Best Supporting Actress

Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara – Carol
Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs

And the winner is…Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl

Last Year’s Prediction: Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
Last Year’s Winner: Patricia Arquette – Boyhood

Best Director

The Big Short – Adam McKay
Mad Max: Fury Road – George Miller
The Revenant – Alejandro G. Iñárritu
Room – Lenny Abrahamson
Spotlight – Tom McCarthy

And the winner is…The Revenant – Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Last Year’s Prediction: Boyhood – Richard Linklater
Last Year’s Winner: Birdman – Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Best Picture

The Big Short: 4-star review
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road: 5-star review
The Martian: 3-star review
The Revenant: 3.5-star review
Room: 4.5-star review

And the winner is…The Revenant

Last Years’ Prediction: Birdman
Last Years’ Winner: Birdman


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